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Game 4 Golden Knights vs Stars Odds, Spread & Predictions (May 25)

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in NHL Hockey

May 24, 2023 · 5:02 PM PDT

Dallas Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger leaves the ice after being pulled in the game against the Vegas Golden Knights
May 23, 2023; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger (29) leaves the ice after being pulled in the game against the Vegas Golden Knights during the first period in game three of the Western Conference Finals of the 2023 Stanley Cup Playoffs at American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Dallas Stars are -125 home favorites in Game 4 of their Western Conference Finals series against the Golden Knights Thursday (May 25th) at 8:00pm ET
  • Dallas won all three meetings versus Vegas during the regular season but has lost all three in the playoffs.
  • Keep reading for the complete Golden Knights vs Stars odds, plus best bets

The Dallas Stars did not look right against the Seattle Kraken, but won in seven games. Dallas took Vegas to overtime in both games on the road but lost. Then, the Stars came home and that is when things only became worse.

The Golden Knights scored early behind the duo of Jonathan Marchessault and Jack Eichel. Jamie Benn took an ill-advised five-minute major that changed the game and likely the series. Vegas went on to win 4-0 to take a commanding 3-0 series lead.

Vegas began this series as -135 favorites to make their second Stanley Cup Final in six seasons. That number is now -2400. Dallas are the underdogs at +1200. Read on for Stars vs Golden Knights analysis.

Golden Knights vs Stars Game 4 Odds

Game Time (ET) Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Thursday, May 25th Vegas Golden Knights +1.5 (-250) O 5.5 (-105) +105
8:00 pm Dallas Stars -1.5 (+205) U 5.5 (-115) -125

Vegas is the top choice in the Stanley Cup odds at -110, while Dallas is tied for last at +2200. The Golden Knights are the +105 underdogs in this contest that features a total of 5.5 goals.

Puck drop is set for 8:00pm ET at American Airlines Arena in Dallas, Texas with ESPN broadcasting the game in the States and Rogers Sportsnet and CBC covering it in Canada.



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Dallas Stars Betting Analysis

The Dallas Stars came unglued in Game 3 much like they did in Game 3 against Minnesota and Seattle by the looks of the scoreboard. However, this time was different. Dallas gave up an early goal, then took the major, and Jake Oettinger allowed two more goals before getting pulled.

Jake Oettinger is an excellent goaltender for Dallas, but something clearly is off. The team had 34 shots on goal in Game 3 and could not solve Adin Hill. It does seem a bit of a role reversal from three seasons ago. Vegas ran into the hot goaltender and now it is Dallas’ turn.

Dallas has to start seeing some pucks go in the net otherwise this series is over on Thursday night. It is cold. Although, the reality is staring them in the face.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Analysis

Vegas keeps rolling along. The Golden Knights scored four more goals on Tuesday night despite only 16 shots. After the opening 20 minutes, the Golden Knights managed six shots on net the rest of the way. Ivan Barbashev led with a goal and two assists and Nicolas Roy chipped in two more points. Even the bottom six contributed another goal too.

Vegas continues to get great goaltending from Adin Hill. He stopped all 34 shots in Game 3. Some keep thinking the regression is coming and yet all Hill keeps doing is proving his doubters wrong. Maybe, Sean Burke had an effect on him but Hill is on some roll.

The Golden Knights were smarter in Game 3 while converting their opportunities. One could say Vegas played a clinic of a road game. Every time Dallas seemed to gain momentum, the door was shut by the team defense or Hill himself.

Vegas knows that Dallas will come back with their best effort yet on Thursday night. Winning that fourth and final game is truly the hardest.

Vegas vs Dallas Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Total
5/23/2023 DAL 0 – VGK 4 – Game 3 VGK VGK Under
5/21/2023 VGK 3 – DAL 2 (OT) – Game 2 VGK DAL Under
5/19/2023 VGK 4 – DAL 3 (OT) – Game 1 VGK DAL Over
4/8/2023 DAL 2 – VGK 1 (SO) DAL VGK Under

Vegas is facing a different, more dynamic Dallas team than they did during the regular season. The same can be said with Dallas. Vegas had 11 of the 16 high-danger scoring chances at even strength on Friday.

Stars vs Golden Knights Pick & Prediction

Bettors display a tiny amount of faith that Dallas avoids the sweep. The betting percentage is 52% on Dallas but the money percentage sets the moneyline at 70% for Vegas. Our model has this Stars vs Golden Knights game going the way of Dallas, 3.41-3.17.

With the Stars all but down and out, do they channel the Boston Celtics from Tuesday night? Hey, it’s not easy being green. However, this one feels like it will at least go back to Vegas for Game 5. Even without Jamie Benn, Dallas figures to show some pride on Thursday night. It might be worth taking a couple of unusual risks.

Picks: Dallas Stars Win In 60 (+121), Dallas Puckline (+205)


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